By Professor Doom
So I’ve been
wandering through a
Buzzfeed article of all things, which talks about the student loans.
We’ve established that 15-20% of the population has these loans, that they’re
inescapable, that default rates are steadily rising and, bottom line, these
victims won’t be able to pay them off.
The important
detail here is the 15-20%, around 50,000,000 people, is concentrated in the
20-35 age group. Yes, there are 155,000 people getting their social security checks garnished from student loans…but what are going to be
the consequences of financially obliterating much of the current adult generation?
For many
of us, student debt means delaying — if not entirely forgoing — homeownership,
marriage, and parenthood.
Student debt
forgoing marriage? As bizarre as it sounds, there’s some truth to it. If you
want a wife, why pay an extra $35,000 (the average) for one? Yes, it’s possible
for a male to overlook it, but some do care about such things. That might sound
mercenary, but I assure the gentle reader a male with such debts will be even
more hard pressed to find a female marriage partner willing to take such a
negative-provider.
Parenthood
likewise can be a problem. It can take a decade or two of payments before the
victim realizes that he/she will never, ever, pay off the loan, and it’s tough
to consider paying for a child when you’re struggling to just barely get by as
it is…and still in debt.
Perhaps marriage
and parenthood will work out in the end, I rather think so. But what of
homeownership? A massive part of our economic system involves real estate, and
“the American dream” does indeed involve owning your own home.
Realistically, a
person with tens of thousands of inescapable debt will never accumulate enough
money for a down payment, and it’s probable we won’t give ourselves another
sub-prime mortgage meltdown again. So, housing demand will have to fall off…and
now we’re going to have a problem, since falling demand means falling prices,
and falling housing prices will bring everything else down with it (see also,
the 2008 crisis). I guess our government could step in with another
multitrillion dollar bailout, but that still leaves a problem for our student
loan victims.
This new form of social
stratification — between those who have student debt, and those who do not —
will have ramifications for generations to come.
They’re going to
be serfs, forever in debt, trapped in a system they can never escape. We could
easily devolve into a society where a whole generation would be little more
than feudal slaves, vulnerable to ever more financial depredation. I wish
Buzzfeed had talked about this a bit more, but they have a poor reputation for
a reason, I guess.
…a 28-year-old, now in
her first year in the PSLF program, with $110,000 in graduate school debt. Her
health insurance with a public service employer doesn’t cover specialist visits
to the doctor — so she goes without, because she uses her extra income toward
covering her student loans. “I basically can’t have children until I’m at least
38, and who knows if my eggs will be dead by then,” she told me. “I have pretty
abysmal views that I’ll save much money at all in the next ten, twenty, THIRTY
years.”
This system
really is destroying much of a generation, and, insidiously, it’s targeting our
brightest, the ones who go on to graduate school. The long term effects here
could debilitate our modern civilization.
And if hundreds of
thousands of people aren’t even saving for themselves, we’re certainly not
saving for our kids’ college tuition, effectively ensuring their future
monumental student debt.
Those victims who
do manage to reproduce and raise children will have literally nothing to give
them (except possibly the debt). I have friends who’ve used the inheritance
from their parents’ homes to pay for their own or their kids’ education, so
they’ve staved off the trap for a generation. But…what of the next generation?
You only get to do that once, after all.
In 1983, the average
full-time student borrowed $746 ($1,881 in 2018 dollars) per year. The most recent statistics from the College Board indicate that in 2018, the average
annual undergraduate loan is now $4,510, while the average graduate loan hit
$17,990. In 2016–2017, the average borrower left college with $37,172 in loans.
Our
government “helped” with the high cost of education by providing those student
loans, with the end result that the cost, and the amount of debt, skyrocketed
to insane, hideous, levels. Similarly, our government “helped” with the high
cost of buying a home by establishing Federal lenders, leading to an explosion
in real estate prices.
Buzzfeed never
really gets to solutions, beyond talking about government forgiveness programs,
programs loaded down with so many exclusions and restrictions very few people
will ever qualify. A widespread repudiation of these debts would be a simpler
and more fairly implemented solution.
And, of course,
we need to stop the government “help” of providing student loans. Just end
those, and we’ll see tuition fall to more sane levels. Our economic system
doesn’t rely on tuition like it does on real estate, so this effect won’t be
nearly so devastating.
The
cost of education shifted from a societal
investment — spread across the tax-paying public, in the name of a thriving
society and economy — to an individual one. And no matter how astronomically
priced that investment became, we continued to rationalize it as a worthwhile
one.
The above hints at another important
detail: we established our state schools because, at one point, education was
to public benefit. Many of our schools have been warped from education centers
to indoctrination centers, instilling an ideology which is causing harm to this
country, creating not only debt serfs, not merely debt serfs with no
significant kills, but also debt serfs with no skills who’ve been
psychologically damaged to the point that they can’t work at a job, because they
believe that the government can save them with welfare, a huge minimum wage,
and free housing, paid for (if such a mundane notion is addressed at all) by
looting those who have earned a living and a place to live…because that’s what
our colleges are teaching, to a considerable extent.
The point being that many of our
campuses are now public detriments, again paid for by the student loan scam. We
really shouldn’t pay for things which hurt us (even as I bought one
painful medical treatment after another for six hellish months, with an end
result that the cancer is still growing in my lungs, so I concede some
hypocrisy here).
Even in a culture that
idolizes high-profile college dropouts (Bill Gates, Steve Jobs)…
Gee whiz,
Buzzfeed, we don’t idolize those people because they’re dropouts, we idolize
them because of what they’ve done for our civilization (for good or ill, I
concede). That they can succeed in highly technical fields without college degrees
highlights we have a problem here
with our higher education system, reinforces
the notion that these degrees are overpriced in terms of the skills they
supposedly provide.
The article also
goes into extensive discussion about students being ripped off by various debt
service companies, but all such discussions come to the same conclusion:
End the student
loan scam.
Prof. Doom you are a wise man. I had always said that proficiency in mathematics is mastery with logic. I will be contacting sometime concerning " We the People of the United States" V. Criminal Government.
ReplyDeleteI know, I know, this won't go anywhere. All I can say is " Don't be too sure."
I have a friend of mine who worked her way through grad school by being a stripper. She came out of it with no debt and even had some left over. She is now an LCSW working for some state agency.
ReplyDeleteThat is exactly how I did it until I got a part time job making computer electronics back in the late 1960's. The stripping tips were fantasic, 2 months stripping paid for an entire year of school back then at the U of A.
ReplyDeleteLearning carpentry was how I made really good money along with playing real estate games in NYC and NJ. My field of study was rendered worthless by events, thank heavens I left school with zero debt.
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