Monday, January 16, 2017

Community College and Poverty




By Professor Doom

     It’s a been a while since I’ve explained the “bread and butter” of community colleges. While their primary victim is the remedial student, the big source of money for many community colleges is the Pell Grant.

     The Pell Grant is basically free money for college. You show up and say you need money. The college signs you up for basic courses, and then gets all the money from the Pell Grant scheme. Whatever money that isn’t spent on tuition and fees is then “refunded” (that’s their word) to the student. This leads to an unofficial holiday on campus: Check Day. For many students, once they get the checks, they’re gone.

      There’s no record keeping from one campus to the next, so community colleges have bands of nomadic students wandering between them, getting their checks, disappearing, than showing up at the next campus down the road.

     While this business plan is incredibly fraudulent, it’s the business plan of many community colleges—they don’t care about fraud, they care about growth. I’ve covered this community college business plan before, but it’s worth asking why we have a million students or more doing this, for what amounts to a few hundred bucks a month. Yes, we really have over a million fraudsters in the system, as I’ve personally seen campuses with 40% scammers, and official estimates put it at 25%, with at least 6 million community college students in this country overall. A recent study touches on the systemic fraud, above and beyond administrative encouragement of fraud:



     Now, the study only looks at California, so we have to take a few grains of salt to extrapolate what’s being seen in the study to community colleges elsewhere, but let’s look at the results all the same:

      Approximately a third (32.8%) of students experienced housing insecurity.


     Alas, statistics in a vacuum like this are meaningless. If 50% of the general population experiences housing insecurity, this study shows that community college students are relatively wealthy. If it’s 5% of the general population, now we have, as the study claims, evidence that our community college students are in poverty. Sadly, the study doesn’t give any relative statistic, so we just have to take it on faith that the results here mean what the study says they mean.

      I couldn’t find any study that would allow an apples-to-apples comparison…it’s a shame the study here didn’t make that a little easier to figure out.

     Similarly, the study finds around 12% of community college students suffer from food insecurity…I’ve never really seen a college student in real danger of starvation, but we’ll go with the flow here.

      The study naturally shows that students in these situations are going to community college with more purpose to get a job (shocking, right?) and that worries about food and housing cause these students stress (shocking again, right?). The study also shows that students in these situations tend to have lower grades…not exactly a shock, either.

     And, of course, the study shows that students in these situations are far more likely to be trapped in hopeless remedial programs, programs that we’ve long known to be wildly ineffective.

      This is such a damning indictment of our community college system, a system that targets the most vulnerable, sucks the last bit of money they have, and spits them out with nothing. I feel bad for the students.

     That said, I hate what this study is trying to imply with the “students that have insecurity do worse in school.”

     Part of the reason higher education is so ridiculously expensive right now is our campuses are bloated with an administrative caste to support every student whim, and, yes, every student need. Every campus now has multiple fiefdoms with names like “Institute of Student Appeasement” and I know what’s going to happen when administrators see this study. I’ve seen fiefdom after fiefdom founded, and every time, the Poo Bah justifies it because “Having this fiefdom will improve student success on campus!”

      For one concrete example, it’s why we have fiefdoms now to give students safe spaces. Some study, somewhere, showed that students who are afraid don’t do as well in class (shocking, right?). Need another concrete example? It’s also why we have Diversity fiefdoms on campus. Some study, somewhere, showed that students who feel like they belong on campus are happier, and happier students do better in class (shocking, right?).

      This is all rubbish, of course, because our graduation rates have been dropping steadily, despite the proliferation of these obviously useless fiefdoms. We have schools with 0.6% graduation rates now...how can we possibly claim these fiefdoms are doing any good?

      So, now we have a study saying we need to have a housing fiefdom, and a student feeding fiefdom.

      I don’t want to come across as a jerk, or unfeeling, but studies like this don’t sway me. I know higher education’s purpose is education and research. But this study tries to lead the reader into thinking higher education’s purpose should be to feed and house students. Yes, we can have scholarships, and scholarships based on need are fine, but the schemes like the Pell Grant aren’t about scholarship, they’re about sucking in huge numbers of students so the school can get soak up huge sums of money.

      Most of that money just goes to administration, as I’ve shown time and again on this blog. Yes, crumbs will go to our starving, homeless students, and my asking to shut down the Pell scheme might come across as my wanting to deny crumbs to our starving, homeless students.

     That’s not true.

      I’m fine with government programs to house and feed our homeless, starving, citizens. On the other hand, I’m rabidly against making it higher education’s mission to feed and house our students. Studies like this merely open up more avenues of plunder for administration.




Friday, January 13, 2017

Student Debt Doubles Since 2008...”Fake News” Spins It





By Professor Doom

     My blog’s only been around a couple years now. When I started, student debt was under a trillion dollars…now it’s more like $1.4 trillion dollars. Our higher education system has been transformed from a system of education and research for humanity, into a system of massive wealth transfer into the pockets of higher education administration.

     Months ago, ZeroHedge released a collection of charts, based on seldom published government numbers, showing that the often published government numbers detailing the wonders of the US economy are rubbish.


     Donald Trump tweeted out these charts, implying strongly that Obama really hasn’t been all that wonderful. I’m no fan of Obama, and I agree the last 8 years have been bad, far worse than the general public is being told…but it’s not exactly Obama’s fault. The 2008 banking crisis did not create the immense falsehoods in our economy, it merely exposed them. This exposure was quickly papered over with massive money creation, but the rot is still there. Sure, Obama’s done nothing to fix these problems, but, nobody can fix this level of corruption without massive fallout, which hasn't happened. All he’s done is delay the inevitable outcome of decades of ostentatious fraud. To criticize Obama’s failure here is as fair as criticizing someone for not saving himself from a fall because he didn’t flap his arms fast enough: any other person would fail in about the same way.

     Anyway, a casual inspection of the graphs above (and these are more clearly represented at ZeroHedge) shows disturbing trends in the economic situation of most Americans, in ways most Americans can easily understand, without government sorcery like “hedonic adjustments” and “rent allowances” that give economic bonuses which apply to no actual human.

     It really is amazing the mainstream media’s hatred for Donald Trump, leading to a bias that I thought would end, or at least slow down, after the election. Granted, Trump calling them all liars who should be ashamed of themselves (why wasn’t this in the news for weeks, I do-not-wonder), right to their faces, in person, while completely justified, probably didn’t help matters.

     Anyway, these charts dispel the mainstream narrative of how wonderful Obama and the economy are, and have been more or less endorsed by Trump. So, of course, the mainstream media has to debunk them. 

     Here goes, from the Washington Post:


--apologies for citing a fake news site.


     The article preambles with the usual anti-Trump hate, and then moves on to the picture I’ve indicated above. The journalist (sic) lacks the rudimentary computer expertise of how to deal with small print, and has less mathematical skill that my most remedial students, and thus struggles with reading the graphs:

There are nine little graphs embedded in there, with hard-to-read axes and unclear provenance for the numbers, all of which are meant to bolster one argument: Barack Obama's presidency has been bad.

Look, for example, at the graph at upper left, "Student Loans." It's almost impossible to make out the labels on the horizontal axis, but it's clear that there simply aren't any until the graph starts to rise. Which is ... a bit deceptive


      I’ll just be focusing on the student loan graph, although the anti-Trump hit piece goes over the others with just as much acumen. The journalist (sic) does the right thing, and tries to verify the charts are accurate:

So what I figured I'd do is try my best to recreate these charts with verifiable numbers,


     Now, keep in mind, it took me all of 30 seconds to figure out these charts came from ZeroHedge…the journalist (sic) lacks even my paltry investigative skills and never even mentions ZeroHedge, and so then spends considerable time putting all the spin he can on how these charts are misleading by finding his own facts (instead of ZeroHedge, which cited its numbers from the government itself) and twisting things around.

      Here’s the best the journalist (sic) could do:

   


 
    

     So, doing the best they can, this fake news site still shows that student loan debt has basically doubled under Obama’s reign. The news article then says we shouldn’t blame Obama for this…perhaps so, but it’s clear Obama has done nothing here to help our kids, to keep them from being screwed into a lifetime of unpayable debt. I grant there are plenty of huge problems in this country, so perhaps Obama just had other priorities…but the other charts show similar inactivity by Obama.

     It’s so strange to see the media behaving like this. Donald Trump, for good or ill, just succeeded in the greatest political upset in history (at least, if you think fake news was telling the truth about all the polls). It’s as bizarre as me getting into a full contact professional karate fight with 8 year old Honey Boo Boo, and getting knocked out within 10 seconds. 

      After such a beating, I would consider what happened. Top three explanations for my losing would be along the lines of:

1  1)   I suck at fighting, and it was my mistake for getting involved.
2  2) Honey Boo Boo is a far more formidable opponent than anyone could believe.
3  3)   I made a major error in the fight.

     I would consider the above as possible explanations, and would respect that, regardless of which explanation was most prevalent, Honey Boo Boo beat me in a fair fight. What would not occur to me, ever?

  A)     Honey Boo Boo is a Russian agent, and that explains everything   
 
      B) Honey Boo Boo is a lying racist/fascist, I should henceforth refer to her as Hitler Boo Boo The Racist, and that explains everything.

     Collectively, the media seems bent on considering analogues to A or B, and no other option, as an explanation, and thus continues with the endless hate campaign. It’s weird stuff.

      Now back to higher education.

       Gentle reader, keep that chart in mind the next time you read or hear “we’re doing this to keep tuition costs down” from an administrator. I’ve seen or heard the like hundreds, if not thousands, of times, and that chart shows, very clearly, they haven’t done a thing to stop tuition from rising. It’s a simple matter to verify that administrative positions have increased dramatically, however, and their salaries are insanely high…all those promises are nothing next to the obvious fact that student debt is rising the same as it has been for years…and certainly the same as it has been under the Obama administration.

     Now, I concede I’m putting a bit of spin on things here, the debt goes from 706 billion in 2009 to near 1,351 billion in 2016, and so I’m exaggerating, as this isn’t quite double. But, the numbers are the numbers, and so I invite the gentle reader to look at those numbers and make his own decision as to whether things have really improved under Obama nearly as much as the fake news sources like The Washington Post would have us believe.